BTC Price Prediction for December 2025 to 2026: Scenarios, Data, and How to Respond

Let's get straight to the point. Many people are looking for BTC price predictions for December 2025 to 2026 after Bitcoin fell from a peak of around $126,000 to around $94,000 in mid-November 2025, then moved to around $100,000.

Market sentiment even entered the Extreme Fear zone with an index score of around ten.

So, is this the end of the cycle or just a healthy correction before another rise? In this article, we won't just make guesses. We summarize technical, on-chain, macro, and sentiment factors, then build several rational price scenarios for the end of 2025 to 2026.

Read also: JPMorgan Increases Bitcoin ETF Holdings, Institutional Investors Return

Bitcoin Conditions Ahead of December 2025

For our predictions to make sense, we first need to understand Bitcoin's current position in its cycle. In short, we are in the phase after a big rise following the 2024 halving and a fairly deep mid-correction.

1. Recent price movements

1. Bitcoin hit a record high of around $126,000 in October 2025.
2. This was followed by a correction of around 25% to around $94,000 in mid-November.
3. As December approaches, the price has mostly consolidated in the range of $97,000 to $111,000, with a strong psychological barrier around $100,000.

Corrections of twenty to thirty percent like this have also appeared in previous post-halving cycles and are often still part of a long-term uptrend, not a sign of a breakdown.

2. Technical signals and market structure

1. Indicators such as the daily RSI entered the oversold zone and then began to rebound. This indicates that excessive selling pressure is beginning to ease.
2. The area around $100,000 is becoming a battleground between buyers and sellers. Many new buyers are starting to enter below this level, while sellers who are late to take profits are running out of steam.
3. On the upside, the $106,000 to $112,000 zone is where many long-term holders want to exit at breakeven, so any rise to this area is often met with resistance.

The structure is similar to a “rest” phase in the middle of a major trend. The next direction will greatly depend on macro news and institutional fund flows.

3. On-chain data and Bitcoin holder behavior

1. The proportion of coins that have not moved for more than a year is at a high level. This means that many long-term holders are still choosing to hold, rather than panic.
2. Some long-term holders have indeed realized profits from July to October. However, many coins have only recently entered the long-term category, so the truly liquid supply remains relatively limited.
3. The market value to realized value ratio (MVRV) is in a lower range compared to the peak of euphoria. Historically, this zone often approaches the fundamental fair value and sometimes becomes the starting point for the next rally.

In short, as we approach December 2025, Bitcoin appears to be in the midst of a tug of war: prices have fallen quite far, fear sentiment is quite extreme, but the network fundamentals remain solid.

Read also: Who Holds the Most Bitcoin? Check the Complete List!

BTC Price Prediction for December 2025 to Mid-2026

This section directly addresses the core of your search: BTC price predictions for December 2025 to 2026 in the form of scenarios. These are not exact figures, but logical ranges based on current data.

1. BTC price prediction for December 2025

Assuming no major surprises from central banks or regulations, several things may happen:

1. Base scenario for December 2025
   • The main support level in the range of ninety-seven thousand to one hundred thousand dollars holds.
   • Selling pressure from long-term holders decreases.
   • Sentiment recovers from extreme fear to neutral.
   • In this scenario, the fair price is in the range of one hundred ten thousand to one hundred twenty thousand dollars as an end-of-year relief rally.
2. Optimistic Scenario
   • The Fed signals faster interest rate cuts.
   • Inflows into Bitcoin investment products increase.
   • The price could retest the $120,000 range and approach the old peak.
3. Cautious Scenario
   • If the $100,000 support breaks with high volume, the price could temporarily slip to the $88,000 to $90,000 range before stabilizing again.

2. BTC Price Prediction for Early to Mid-2026

For the first six months of 2026, several supporting factors include the potential for lower interest rates, looser liquidity, and rising institutional adoption through various investment products.

In summary, the scenario is:

1. Early 2026 base scenario
   • Bitcoin successfully breaks through the $112,000 to $116,000 range.
   • Selling pressure shifts to gradual profit-taking, not panic selling.
   • The price moves in the range of $130,000 to $150,000 in mid-2026.
2. Early 2026 optimistic scenario
   • Institutional inflows through products such as spot ETFs and custodial services continue to rise.
   • Interest rates fall faster than expected.
   • The price has the potential to reach the range of $160,000 to $180,000.
3. Defensive scenario in early 2026
   • There is a macro shock such as geopolitical turmoil or a deeper recession.
   • The price could return to the range of $100,000 to $110,000 and move sideways for longer.

3. Trade BTC safely on Bittime

Amid these various price scenarios, the most important thing is how you manage risk. One way is to use a platform with strong security features and a clear interface. Bittime provides a crypto trading app with a simple interface, multi-layered security system, and support for major assets such as BTC.

You can start by:

1. Creating an account, then enabling two-factor authentication.
2. Trying to buy BTC in small amounts first.
3. Utilizing the limit order feature to enter the market at your planned price.

Download the Bittime app, learn about its security features, then start testing your trading strategy with a comfortable amount.

Read also: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Strengthens After Fed Speech: Will the Bullish Trend Continue?

BTC Price Scenario at the End of 2026 and How to Respond

After discussing December 2025 and early 2026, let's now look further ahead to the end of 2026. Remember, the further ahead we look, the greater the uncertainty.

1. Optimistic Scenario for the End of 2026

In this scenario, several positive factors come into play:

1. Global interest rates decline gradually.
2. Institutional capital flows into Bitcoin remain stable.
3. Crypto regulations become clearer and less restrictive.

Under these conditions, many research institutions see Bitcoin's potential reaching between $150,000 and $200,000 by the end of 2026, with some extreme projections even suggesting a possibility of approaching $250,000 if the euphoria is particularly strong.

2. Moderate scenario for the end of 2026

This may be a more realistic scenario for many investors:

1. Institutional demand increases, but does not explode.
2. Global stock markets are not too aggressive, but also do not fall sharply.
3. The post-halving cycle runs longer because many long-term holders choose to hold.

Under these conditions, a 2026 closing price in the range of one hundred and eighty thousand to around two hundred thousand dollars remains plausible as a continuation of the upward trend, without an extreme bubble pattern.

3. Pessimistic Scenario for Late 2026

We must also be honest about the potential for a negative scenario:

1. A deeper global recession occurs, causing investors to avoid risky assets.
2. Strict regulations emerge in several major countries.
3. There is recurring negative sentiment, such as a major scandal in the industry.

In this scenario, Bitcoin could weaken to the range of eighty thousand to one hundred thousand dollars and enter a long consolidation phase.

Even so, many analysts believe that the floor price for the next cycle will remain higher than the peak in 2021, which was around sixty-nine thousand dollars.

The key is not to rely on just one scenario. Develop a plan that remains relevant whether the market is up or down.

Read also: Today's BTC & ETH Prices (IDR): Important Levels for Traders and What's Happening?

Practical Tips for Managing BTC Risk Until 2026

Price predictions can be optimistic, but risk management remains the top priority. Here are some simple steps you can take:

1. Use cold money
   • Invest funds that you won't need in the near future.
   • Avoid using debt or daily living expenses.
2. Divide your portfolio with clear proportions
   • Set a maximum portion for Bitcoin from your total investment assets.
   • Leave room for other assets with lower risk.
3. Set a buy and sell plan before entering the market
   • Determine the entry and exit price range based on the scenarios you have read.
   • Write down the plan and be disciplined in executing it, rather than following your emotions.
4. Use security and recording features
   • Enable two-factor authentication on all exchanges.
   • Store some of your BTC in a private wallet if your goal is long-term.
5. Stay updated, but don't get caught up in the drama
   • Follow data from credible sources, not just social media comments.
   • Limit the frequency of price checks to avoid panic.

With these simple steps, you can enjoy the opportunities from BTC price movements until 2026 without losing control of your emotions and personal finances.

Read also: BTC ATH 2025: Is $126,000 the Peak of the Cycle?

Opportunities Are Still Open, Strategy Remains Important

BTC price predictions for December 2025 to 2026 show a still positive outlook in the medium term, despite the recent deep correction.

Technically, Bitcoin has cleared out many speculative positions, while on-chain data shows that many long-term holders remain.

Macro factors such as the potential for interest rate cuts and increased institutional access through various investment products also support the scenario of price increases in the next few years.

However, no single figure can be taken as a certainty. What you can control is your strategy, discipline, and how you manage risk.

Use these predictions as a roadmap, not a promise.

With a calm and measured approach, you can take advantage of Bitcoin's potential until 2026 without gambling with your financial future.

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Check the exchange rate BTC to IDR, ETH to IDR, SOL to IDR and other crypto assets to find out today's crypto market trends in real-time on Bittime.

Also, visit the Bittime Blog for interesting updates and educational information about the crypto world. Find reliable articles about Web3, blockchain technology, and digital asset investment tips designed to enrich your crypto knowledge.

FAQ

Are the BTC price predictions for December 2025 100% reliable?

No. Predictions are only scenarios based on current data. Macro conditions and major news can change the direction of the market at any time.

Is it reasonable for BTC to rise again after 2026?

Absolutely. Bitcoin cycles often span several years. Ups and downs don't always follow the calendar.

Is it still safe to start buying BTC above a hundred thousand dollars?

Whether it's safe or not depends largely on your risk tolerance and plan. The important thing is to use cold money and have a clear exit strategy.

How can I take advantage of predictions without falling victim to FOMO?

Use predictions as a reference, not an impulsive trigger. Set your buy and sell points before entering the market and don't change them just because you're panicking.

Is it better to save BTC regularly than to buy all at once?

Many investors choose to buy gradually using the average cost method so they are not dependent on a single price point. This method is more stable in the long term.