Arthur Hayes: Don’t Buy Bitcoin Right Now—Wait for This Signal!

The crypto market is often filled with speculation about the best time to buy Bitcoin. However, one of the most prominent figures in the crypto industry, Arthur Hayes, has a quite different perspective.

Although known as a figure who is very bullish on Bitcoin in the long term, Hayes actually advises investors not to rush to buy BTC right now. 

In a podcast interview, he explained that global macroeconomic conditions have not yet provided a strong signal to enter the market.

According to him, investors should wait for certain indicators related to global monetary policy before deciding to buy Bitcoin. So, what are those indicators?

Key Takeaways

• Arthur Hayes advises investors to wait for a global liquidity signal before buying Bitcoin.
• Geopolitical tensions and central bank policies could trigger a drop in BTC below $60,000.
• If global liquidity increases, Hayes predicts Bitcoin could reach $100,000 in the coming years.

Why Arthur Hayes Is Not Buying Bitcoin Right Now

In his interview on the CoinStories podcast, Hayes said that even if he only had $1 to invest, he still wouldn’t buy Bitcoin right now.

According to Arthur Hayes’ Bitcoin analysis, the current global economic situation is still full of uncertainty. Geopolitical tensions, especially the conflict in the Middle East, could trigger pressure on global financial markets.

In such a scenario, investors typically shift to assets considered safer, such as gold or bonds. This could cause a temporary decline in Bitcoin’s price, potentially even dropping below the $60,000 level.

Therefore, Hayes chooses to wait before entering the market.

Also Read: Bitcoin Price Prediction According to Arthur Hayes: Up to 500K USD in 2026

Important Indicators for Buying Bitcoin

One of the most watched Bitcoin buy indicators by Hayes is global liquidity.

According to him, Bitcoin often acts as a “liquidity alarm.” This means BTC’s price is heavily influenced by the amount of money circulating in the global financial system.

When central banks like the Federal Reserve begin increasing liquidity—for example, through stimulus or money printing—risk assets like crypto typically experience price increases.

Hayes states that the ideal time to buy Bitcoin is when central banks begin loosening monetary policy and increasing the money supply.

In such conditions, the crypto market often enters a bull run phase.

Risk of Bitcoin Dropping Below $60K

Hayes also warns that in the short term, Bitcoin still risks experiencing a correction.

If geopolitical tensions escalate or global stock markets face pressure, investors may pull funds from risk assets, including crypto.

This could trigger a large sell-off in the market, potentially pushing BTC price below $60,000.

However, Hayes emphasizes that such a decline does not mean Bitcoin’s long-term outlook will change. On the contrary, that correction could become an accumulation opportunity for patient investors.

Also Read: Mining Bitcoin in Space: Nvidia Startup Ready to Be the First

BTC Buying Strategy According to Arthur Hayes

From the perspective of a BTC buying strategy, Hayes advises investors to focus on macroeconomic factors rather than just looking at price charts.

Some indicators to watch include:

1. Central bank monetary policy
2. Increase in global liquidity
3. Economic stimulus or new money printing
4. Global geopolitical conditions

If those indicators begin showing an increase in liquidity, then the crypto market is very likely to enter the next bullish phase.

This approach differs from short-term trading strategies that try to guess the market bottom.

Register at Bittime now and start trading crypto with a fast, secure, and easy process in the app. 

Bitcoin 2026 Prediction: Can It Break $100K?

Although cautious in the short term, Hayes remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s future.

In his 2026 Bitcoin prediction, he believes that if global liquidity increases significantly, BTC price could break through $100,000 in the coming years.

He also reminds that the market doesn’t always move according to investors’ expectations.

According to Hayes, the market’s job is not to make investors rich, but to test their patience and discipline.

Therefore, understanding when to buy Bitcoin based on macro indicators becomes a wiser strategy than chasing short-term price movements.

Also Read: World War III Threat: What Happens to Bitcoin Amid the US-Iran Crisis?

Conclusion

Arthur Hayes’ view on Bitcoin provides an important perspective for crypto investors.

Instead of buying Bitcoin just because the price drops, Hayes suggests waiting for clear macro indicators, especially an increase in global liquidity from central banks.

This approach emphasizes the importance of patience and understanding global economic dynamics before making large investments in the crypto market.

If those indicators appear, the opportunity to see Bitcoin reach new price levels may become much greater.

How to Buy Crypto on Bittime

Want to trade, sell, or  buy Bitcoin and invest in crypto easily? Bittime is ready to help! As an officially registered crypto exchange in Indonesia under Bappebti, Bittime ensures every transaction is safe and fast.

Start with registration and identity verification, then make a minimum deposit of Rp10,000. After that, you can immediately buy your favorite digital assets!

Check rates for  BTC to IDR, ETH to IDR, SOL to IDR and other crypto assets to see today’s real-time crypto market trends on Bittime.

In addition, visit the Bittime Blog to get various interesting updates and educational information about the crypto world. Find trusted articles on Web3, blockchain technology, and digital asset investment tips designed to enrich your knowledge in the crypto space.

FAQ

When is the best time to buy Bitcoin according to Arthur Hayes?

According to Hayes, the best time to buy Bitcoin is when central banks start increasing global liquidity or printing more money.

Why isn’t Arthur Hayes buying Bitcoin right now?

He believes global economic conditions are still full of uncertainty and liquidity is not yet strong enough to drive a major rally in the crypto market.

Can Bitcoin drop below $60,000?

Yes, Hayes estimates BTC could potentially fall below $60,000 if market pressure occurs due to geopolitical conflict or large-scale selling.

What are the main indicators for buying Bitcoin?

The main indicators according to Hayes are an increase in global liquidity, loose monetary policy, and economic stimulus from central banks.

Does Bitcoin still have upside potential in the future?

Yes, Hayes remains bullish and believes Bitcoin could reach $100,000 if macro conditions support it and global liquidity increases.

Is the strategy of waiting for macro signals safer?

For Hayes, understanding macro factors such as central bank policy and global economic conditions can help investors determine a more appropriate buying time.