Solana Will Release 11.2 Million Tokens! This is the SOL Price Prediction after Unlock

Bittime - Solana (SOL) will unlock 11.2 million SOL tokens to the market on March 1, 2025. The SOL tokens that will be released are worth around $2.2 billion (around IDR 35.86 trillion). So, what is the price prediction for Solana after unlocking the token? Check out the review here!

This event raised concerns among investors, considering the effect of previous token unlocks which often triggered price volatility. How will this impact the price of SOL? Follow this article to find out the predictions.

Solana Unlocks 11.2 Million Tokens

On March 1, 2025, Solana will unlock 11.2 million SOL tokens, equivalent to 2.31% of the total circulating supply. This unlock includes allocations to early investors and the development team, who will likely sell some of their tokens to take advantage.

In the crypto world, token unlock events often increase selling pressure, especially when the number of tokens released to the market is quite large. Some analysts argue that Solana's high liquidity could help absorb this selling pressure. 

However, on the other hand, quite a few predict that high volatility will occur, especially in the few days before and after unlocking.

Read also: Solana Price Prediction and Analysis for the Next Few Days

SOL Price Drops 45% Ahead of Token Unlock

When the news about this unlock circulated, the price of Solana had already experienced a significant decline. In the past month, SOL has slumped around 45%, falling from around $250 (around Rp. 4.08 million) to as low as $138 (around Rp. 2.25 million). 

Analysts warn that this selling pressure could continue, considering the large number of tokens to be released.

Additionally, the data shows an increase in short positions (bets on the price going down) against SOL. This indicates that most traders expect prices to continue to fall after the unlock occurs. 

If SOL fails to stay above the critical support level of $180 (around IDR 2.93 million), there is a possibility that the price will correct further to reach $155 (around IDR 2.52 million).

However, not all views are pessimistic. Some analysts remain optimistic about Solana's strong fundamentals, including increasing adoption and high transaction volume. 

If there is enough demand from institutional or retail investors, SOL prices could return to stability after post-unlock adjustments.

Solana (SOL) Price Prediction After Token Unlock

Once the unlock occurs, there are two possible scenarios for the SOL price. The following is the Solana price prediction after unlocking the SOL token:

1. Bearish Scenario 

If selling pressure is high and the market is unable to absorb additional supply, the SOL price could fall to the next support level at around $155 (around IDR 2.52 million). 

If this level does not hold, SOL could fall further to around $138 (around IDR 2.25 million) or lower.

Read also: Solana Falls, This is the Cause of SOL Prices Dropping Sharply

2. Bullish Scenario 

If demand from institutional and retail investors is strong enough to absorb new supply, SOL prices could stabilize and begin to recover. 

A price increase could occur if SOL manages to stay above the psychological level of $175 (around IDR 2.85 million) and returns towards $190 (around IDR 3.10 million).

Another factor that can influence SOL price movements is overall market sentiment. If macroeconomic conditions improve and investors regain confidence in crypto assets, SOL could recover faster than expected.

Conclusion

The unlocking of 11.2 million SOL tokens on March 1, 2025 has the potential to increase Solana price volatility. So far, SOL has experienced a 45% decline in the past month, and it is likely that selling pressure will continue after the unlock occurs. 

However, with strong fundamentals and support from the community and institutional investors, there is a chance for SOL to return to stability after a period of adjustment.

Investors need to pay attention to the key support levels at $155 (around IDR 2.52 million) and $138 (around IDR 2.25 million), as well as the resistance levels at $175 (around IDR 2.85 million) and $190 (around IDR 3.10 million). 

In situations like this, wise investment strategies and risk management become very important.

FAQ

1. What is Solana token unlock?

Solana token unlock is the release of a number of SOL tokens that were previously locked and cannot be traded. These unlocks usually occur according to a predetermined schedule, often tied to initial investment or development team allocation.

2. Will SOL price increase after unlock?

SOL prices could rise if demand is strong enough to absorb new supply. However, if selling pressure is greater than demand, SOL could fall further before finally stabilizing.

3. Is this a good time to buy SOL?

The decision to purchase SOL depends on each investor's risk profile and investment strategy. If you believe in Solana's long-term prospects, the low price could be an opportunity. However, it is important to consider market volatility and use appropriate risk management.

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Reference 

Analytics Insight, Solana Price Outlook: Upcoming Unlock Of $2.2 Billion Worth Of SOL Tokens Drives Investors Toward This AI Meme Project Gaining Rapid Momentum, accessed February 26, 2025.

CryptoDaily, Solana Plunges 45% Ahead of $2B Token Unlock—Investors Shift Focus to This High-Growth DeFi Crypto, accessed February 26, 2025.

Author: Y