Gold Price Prediction Amid the Conflict of US-Venezuela

2026-01-05

Prediksi Harga Emas di Tengah Konflik AS-Venezuela

Global geopolitical tensions are back in the spotlight after the conflict of AS-Venezuela heated up in early 2026. The United States military action that resulted in the arrest of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro immediately triggered a reaction in global financial markets.

One of the most noticeable impacts was the surge in gold prices, which investors once again sought as a safe haven asset. It's no surprise that the topic of gold price prediction has become a hot topic among market players and the general public.

This article will discuss how the US-Venezuela conflict affects global and domestic gold prices, plus other global factors that contribute to the rise in precious metal prices.

Latest World and Domestic Gold Prices

Prediksi Harga Emas di Tengah Konflik AS-Venezuela

At the close of trading on Saturday, January 3, 2026, the world gold price was at the level US$ 4.332 per troy ounce. This indicates a position that is quite high compared to the previous year's average.

Meanwhile, domestically, the price of gold bullion from PT Aneka Tambang Tbk (Antam) closed in the range of IDR2,488,000 per gram. 

Although it hasn't yet broken its all-time high, domestic gold prices are starting to show an upward trend as global geopolitical tensions rise.

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The Conflict of US-Venezuela is the Main Trigger

Penangkapan Presiden Venezuela Nicolas Maduro

According to currency and commodity observer Ibrahim Assuaibi, the conflict of AS-Venezuela became one of the strongest sentiments driving up gold prices. The arrest of President Nicolas Maduro by the US military is considered to have created significant global uncertainty.

This action was taken without the approval of the US Congress, sparking political controversy within the United States. This situation increased geopolitical risks and led global investors to seek hedges like gold.

Ibrahim assessed that this situation has the potential to trigger up gold prices at the start of the week, as the market responds quickly to any escalation of international conflict.

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Short-Term Gold Price Prediction

Based on Ibrahim's Assuaibi analysis, gold price prediction in the short term still tends to strengthen.

Prediksi Harga Emas di Tengah Konflik AS-Venezuela

He estimates:

- World gold prices can go up to US$ 4.426 per troy ounce on trading Monday, January 5, 2026.

- The price of Antam gold has the potential to rise to IDR2,518,000 per gram in the early week.

This increase is expected to occur because the market is still digesting the impact of the US-Venezuela conflict and the potential for further reactions from other countries.

Read Also: Political Situation Following the Arrest of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro 

Weekend Gold Price Prediction

Not only short-term, Ibrahim also predicted that gold prices could continue to rise until the end of the week.

If geopolitical sentiment still dominates the market, world gold prices have the potential to test the level US$4.505 per troy ounce.

For the domestic market, the price of gold bullion is estimated to reach IDR 2,610,000 per gram on Saturday, January 10, 2026. This figure reflects a combination of rising global gold prices and the weakening rupiah exchange rate.

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Other Global Factors Affecting Gold Prices

Besides the US-Venezuela conflict, there are several other global factors that have strengthened the bullish trend in gold.

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1. Tensions in the Middle East

Massive demonstrations in Iran stemming from the economic crisis and the rial's plummeting exchange rate have sparked fears of open conflict, adding to global geopolitical tensions.

2. Russia-Ukraine conflict

The war in Eastern Europe escalated again, with military attacks and counter-offensives. This situation further destabilized global markets.

3. The Fed and China's Policy

The Federal Reserve has again implemented stimulus measures through a US$40 billion bond buyback. Meanwhile, China has begun reducing its US bond holdings for strategic purposes, which has also impacted market sentiment.

4. Rupiah Weakening

The weakening of the rupiah exchange rate to around Rp 16,725 per US dollar also contributed to the increase in domestic gold prices because gold prices are very sensitive to exchange rate movements.

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Conclusion

The conflict of AS-Venezuela has become a strong catalyst for the rise in gold prices in early 2026. Geopolitical uncertainty, coupled with conflicts in various regions of the world, has made gold once again a favorite asset as a hedge.

Based on the latest analysis, gold price prediction is still heading towards an upward trend, both in the global and domestic markets.

However, investors still need to pay close attention to geopolitical developments and global economic policies, as volatility is expected to remain high in the near future.

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FAQ

Why does the US-Venezuela conflict affect gold prices?

As conflict increases global risks, investors seek safe assets such as gold to protect their wealth.

What is the predicted world gold price in the near future?

The world gold price is expected to rise to around US$ 4,426–4,505 per troy ounce.

What is the predicted gold price in Indonesia?

Antam gold prices are projected to rise to Rp 2,610,000 per gram if the global trend continues.

Is gold still attractive for investment today?

Gold remains attractive as a hedge against geopolitical uncertainty, but it still needs to be tailored to each individual's risk profile.

What factors influence gold prices besides the US-Venezuela conflict?

Some other factors are the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the situation in the Middle East, the Fed's policies, China's economic conditions, and the movement of the rupiah exchange rate.

Disclaimer: The views expressed belong exclusively to the author and do not reflect the views of this platform. This platform and its affiliates disclaim any responsibility for the accuracy or suitability of the information provided. It is for informational purposes only and not intended as financial or investment advice.

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