BTC ATH 2025: Is $126,000 a Cycle Peak?

Bittime - Bitcoin (BTC) again made new history by breaking through the all-time high (ATH) above $125.000in early October 2025. So, has BTC reached its all-time high or could it still rise further? Check out the predictions!

This price surge immediately sparked euphoria among investors, traders, and analysts worldwide. However, amidst this excitement, an important question arises: Has BTC reached ATH or is this just the beginning of the journey to the peak of a higher cycle?

This achievement didn't just happen. The BTC price surge in October 2025 was the result of a combination of global economic factors, significant investment flows from financial institutions, and continued positive market sentiment.

This phenomenon is even considered a reflection of renewed confidence in Bitcoin as a hedge against global uncertainty.

Latest Data: Bitcoin Hits Record $125,689

According to data from CoinGecko and Reuters, Bitcoin price reaches $125,689 on October 5, 2025 New York time, breaking the previous record of $124,480 recorded last August.

Within 24 hours, trading volume jumped to almost $50 billion, indicating very high market activity. At the time of writing, the BTC price was stable around$122,000 to $123,000, up around 2.7% in a week.

This increase also occurred amidst a phenomenon called “Uptober”, which is a historical trend where Bitcoin prices often experience significant strengthening in October.

However, unlike previous years, this increase was accompanied by much stronger institutional momentum.

Read also: Bitcoin vs Altcoins: Which is More Profitable in 2025?

Driving Factors Behind Bitcoin's 2025 ATH

The rise in Bitcoin prices to the 2025 Bitcoin ATH level is no coincidence. Several important factors played a role in driving this surge, from economic policy to market psychology.

1. Political Uncertainty in the United States

On October 3, 2025, the United States government experienced a shutdown due to the failure to reach a budget agreement in Congress. This situation has prompted investors to seek alternative assets that are not dependent on government policy, and Bitcoin has once again become a top choice.

JPMorgan analysts say BTC is now playing a role as hedge against fiat currency depreciation, where the price of Bitcoin rose 12% in just a week.

2. Inflow of Funds into Bitcoin ETFs

Since the approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF in early 2024, institutional investors have been inundated with funds. By October 2025,total inflows reached more than $60 billion. 

BlackRock and Fidelity are the two big players in this sector, with funds under management reaching $100 million each.$97 billion and $25 billion. In the last week alone, weekly inflows reached$3.24 billion, pushing the supply of BTC on exchanges to its lowest point since 2019.

Read also: How to Register for Bitcoin via Mobile: Easy and Fast!

3. Expectations of Interest Rate Cuts by the Fed

Weak US labor data raised hopes that Federal Reserve will lower interest rates by 0.25% in October and December 2025. When interest rates fall, risky assets like crypto usually become more popular.

A similar pattern occurred last September, when a rate cut sparked a major rally in the crypto market.

4. The “Uptober” Effect and Institutional Adoption

October is known as a month of optimism in the crypto world. Over the past 10 years, Bitcoin's average increase this month has reached 30%. 

This year, that trend was reinforced by the government's pro-crypto policies. Donald Trump which supports the formationStrategic Bitcoin Reserveas well as increasing BTC ownership by public companies such as MicroStrategy, which now holds more than 597.000 BTC.

5. Increasingly Strong Market Sentiment

This positive momentum is also evident in market liquidation data. On October 5, short positions worth $100 millionliquidated in just one hour. The Fear & Greed Index rose to a record high71 (Greed), indicating increasing investor confidence in the direction of the market.

Read also: How to Buy Bitcoin Safely in Jakarta: A Complete Guide for Beginners

BTC Future Predictions: Is $126,000 Already a Cycle Peak?

The big question now is whether Bitcoin's price has reached its cyclical peak or whether it still has room to rise further. Based on various analyses, most global financial institutions seepotential continuation of the bullish trenduntil the end of the year.

• Standard Chartered predicts Bitcoin could touch $135.000 in the near future, and has the potential to reach $200.000 if the momentum remains strong.

• JPMorgan target $165.000, assuming that the “hedge against inflation” trend continues.

• VanEck predict double peaks in the range $180.000 before a possible moderate correction.

• Average prediction of CoinCodex and Changelly shows the range $145.000–$175.000, with the opportunity to rise to $131.000 in mid-October.

In the medium term (2026–2030), some analysts are even more optimistic. ARK Investestimates Bitcoin could reach $710.000in 2030 in a moderate scenario, and $1.5 million in the best case scenario.

How to Buy Crypto on Bittime

Want to trade sell buy Bitcoins and crypto investment easily? Bittime is here to help! As an Indonesian crypto exchange officially registered with Bappebti, Bittime ensures every transaction is safe and fast.

Start with registration and identity verification, then make a minimum deposit of IDR 10,000. After that, you can immediately buy your favorite digital assets!

Check the exchange rate BTC to IDR, ETH to IDR, SOL to IDR and other crypto assets to find out today's crypto market trends in real-time on Bittime.

Also, visit the Bittime Blog for interesting updates and educational information about the crypto world. Find reliable articles about Web3, blockchain technology, and digital asset investment tips designed to enrich your crypto knowledge.

FAQ

How much is $1 dollar worth in Bitcoin? 

The current exchange rate is1 USD is equal to 0.0000089 BTC.

What if I had invested $1,000 in Bitcoin 5 years ago? 

If you invested $1,000 in Bitcoin 5 years ago (in 2020), your current investment would be will be worth $9.689(Note: A $1,000 investment in 2015 would be worth $496,927, and in 2010 it would be worth about $1.62 billion).

How much will 1 Bitcoin be worth in 2030? 

Based on predictions with a rate of change of 5% per year, the price of Bitcoinwill be $142,578.52 in 2030.

Who owns 90% of Bitcoin today? 

In March 2023,Top 1% of Bitcoin addresses holds more than 90% of the total Bitcoin supply.

Who sold 10,000 Bitcoins for pizza? 

A software developer named Laszlo Hanyeczis the person who paid 10,000 Bitcoins for two Papa John's pizzas on May 22, 2010.