BTC Price Prediction This Week, November 3-9, 2025

Bittime - The Bitcoin (BTC) market entered the first week of November with technical signals still indicating selling pressure.

Based on indicators from TradingView and technical analysis data for the last 1 hour, BTC in position Strong Sell, with 16 indicators supporting sell action, 4 neutral, and only 1 buy signal.

However, November's typically positive seasonal trend for BTC leaves room for a potential reversal if market momentum strengthens again.

Short-Term Pressure Remains Dominant

At the beginning of this week, BTC was moving around the levelUS$ 110.000, facing strong resistance in the areaUS$ 112.500–113.000. Data fromInvesting.com And CryptoNewsindicates selling pressure increased after the price failed to break through the zone.

If BTC is unable to maintain support in the rangeUS$ 106.000–108.000, the chance of a decrease toUS$ 100.000–103.000wide open.

SignalStrong SellTechnical indicators suggest weak short-term momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below 45, while the MACD has yet to signal a potential reversal.

However, traders are still waiting for confirmation of price movement approaching the key support level before taking new positions.

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Seasonal Factors and Market Sentiment

Historically, November is one of the most positive months for Bitcoin. According to dataCoindesk, the average performance of BTC in November reached 42.5%, although the median increase was only around 8.8%.

This means that the potential for strengthening remains, but high volatility remains a risk that cannot be ignored.

Market analysts note that BTC's movement this week will also be influenced by institutional fund flows and expectations of US monetary policy.

If fund inflows through products like spot ETFs increase, this could be a positive catalyst, dampening selling pressure. Conversely, negative macroeconomic news or new regulations could worsen sentiment.

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BTC Price Range Forecast 03-09 November 2025

Based on a combination of technical analysis, historical patterns, and current macro conditions, here is the projected BTC price movement for this week:

• Basic scenario (most likely):BTC moves betweenUS$ 109.000 – US$ 115.000, with mild fluctuations around the zone.
  
   
• Bullish scenario:If BTC breaks resistanceUS$ 112.500with strong volume, the target increase is in the areaUS$ 116.000 – US$ 119.000.
  
   
• Bearish scenario:If supportUS$ 106.000 – US$ 108.000failed to survive, decline toUS$ 100.000 – US$ 103.000most likely to happen.
  
   

Level US$ 112.500 And US$ 106.000This will be a crucial point that will determine the direction of BTC's movement this week. Traders are advised to wait for confirmation of a breakout or breakdown before opening large positions.

External Factors to Consider

Several global factors could be catalysts that determine the direction of BTC prices:

1. Federal Reserve (The Fed) interest rate policy:If expectations of interest rate cuts increase, Bitcoin could potentially receive a new buying boost.
   
    
2. “Whale” activity and institutional volume:Large fund movements are often early signals of a trend change.
   
    
3. Regulatory news:Any new policy from the US or the EU regarding digital assets could quickly change the direction of the market.
   
    
4. Market liquidity:Trading volume on major exchanges will be an indicator of the strength of the next trend.

Analysts expect short-term volatility to remain high, especially ahead of key US economic data due this week.

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Strategies for Traders and Investors

For short-term traders, the safest strategy this week iswaiting for price confirmationbefore entering position.

A breakout above US$112,500 could be a buy signal with a target of US$116,000, while a breakout below US$106,000 opens up a sell opportunity towards US$103,000.

Medium-term investors can consider gradually adding to their positions as long as BTC remains above US$108,000, focusing on the seasonal trend, which is likely to be positive in November. However, disciplined risk management remains essential, as the market is still susceptible to rapid reversals.

Conclusion

The week of November 3-9, 2025, will be a crucial phase for Bitcoin's direction. Technical signals indicate a bullish trend.Strong Sell, but November's seasonal factors still provide limited upside potential.

The realistic price range is betweenUS$ 109.000 – US$ 115.000, with a possible breakout toUS$ 116.000 – US$ 119.000or a decrease toUS$ 100.000 – US$ 103.000.

Investors are advised to remain alert to macro dynamics and regulatory news, and to pay attention to two main levels —US$ 106.000 And US$ 112.500— as a determinant of market direction in the short term.

FAQ

Is November always a positive month for Bitcoin?

Not always. While the average November increase is quite high, significant volatility makes the results inconsistent from year to year.

Is the US$100,000 level still relevant as strong support?

Yes. If BTC fails to hold in the zoneUS$ 106.000 – US$ 108.000, face area US$ 100.000 – US$ 103.000become the next correction target.

What is the most important resistance to mark a bullish trend?

The main resistance is in the rangeUS$ 112.500 – US$ 113.000A breakout accompanied by high volume could trigger a further rally.

Does US interest rate policy affect BTC price?

Yes. Lower interest rates are usually a positive catalyst because they encourage investors to shift to riskier assets like crypto.

Does institutional cash flow have a big impact on BTC movements?

Highly influential. Inflows from large investors via ETFs or direct purchases often trigger significant buying momentum.