Allseason is Predicted to Occur in 2025: Here's What It Is and Its Characteristics
2024-11-19Bittime - Allseason is Predicted to Happen in 2025: Here's What It Is and What It Looks Like. We are currently in a unique market phenomenon, referred to as the “All Season.”
It's not just altcoin season, Bitcoin season, or meme season, but all asset classes are experiencing price increases simultaneously.
Bitcoin, altcoins, meme tokens, even stock indices like the S&P 500 are hitting all-time highs.
High-yield corporate bonds are also on the rise.
The only exception? Gold, which actually experienced a correction.
Also read Altcoin Season Index: Definition and How to Use it for Crypto Trading
All Season Phenomenon: All Assets Pump Simultaneously
“All Season” is a moment when almost all asset classes experience simultaneous price increases.
Bitcoin goes up, altcoins go up, meme tokens are not left behind, even the stock market and corporate bonds soar.
This phenomenon suggests a massive asset rotation into instruments that are perceived to have high profit potential.
But what's really going on behind this narrative?
And more importantly, what comes next after Moonvembull and Donald Trump's predicted victory in 2025?
This article about Allseason is heavily inspired by Angga Andinata's youtube content.
Allcoin Season: The Trend of Allcoin Price Increase
Before discussing further, there are a few things to know:
1. BTC Dominance is Still High
At the time of this video, Bitcoin dominance (BTC Dom) is still at a very high level. However, the price of certain altcoins has started to rise following Bitcoin's rise.
2. Not All Altcoins Need Allcoin Season
Some altcoins have special fundamentals or momentum that allow them to rise without the need to wait for altcoin season.
3. Definition of Altcoin Season
Altcoin season occurs when at least 50 altcoins beat Bitcoin's performance. Based on the definition from CoinMarketCap, altcoin season occurs if 75% of the top 100 altcoins are able to outperform Bitcoin's performance.
Also read Altseason Begins: Crypto Whales Start to Serve XRP and Solana
Allcoin Season Thesis in 2025
1. Improved Regulation
In 2025, it is likely that crypto regulations will be more supportive. Based on data from Stand with Crypto, both the American Senate and House of Representatives are predicted to be controlled by pro-crypto politicians.
In addition, the resignation of Gary Gensler from the position of SEC Chairman is a major event that opens up opportunities for regulations to be more friendly to the crypto industry.
In President Biden's era, crypto regulations such as Chokepoint 2.0 and SAB 121 were a big hindrance. However, with Trump's predicted victory, that era is expected to end, paving the way for the rise of altcoins.
2. Improvements in the Crypto Industry and Players
The trend of launching new tokens with low float and high fully diluted value (FDV) is one of the reasons altcoins are unlikely to rise in 2024.
Tokenomics that fell out of favor with the market made many new projects fail to create momentum. However, changes are starting to take place, with some projects postponing their Token Generation Event (TGE) to improve their tokenomics.
3. High-Yield Corporate Bonds Rise
The rise in high-yield corporate bonds suggests investors are starting to take an interest in high-risk assets. This is a positive signal for altcoins, which are also considered high-risk investments.
The decline in interest rates in the US allowed the rotation of funds from US Treasuries to altcoins.
4. War De-escalation
The narrative of de-escalation of global conflicts after Trump's win was also a catalyst.
The decline in geopolitical risks caused gold prices to correct, while riskier assets such as altcoins gained momentum.
5. Launch of Altcoin Spot ETF
With better regulation and a change in leadership at the SEC, the chances of issuing altcoin spot ETFs are growing.
For instance, Solana has been proposed by several ETF issuers such as VanEck and 21Shares. The presence of these altcoin spot ETFs will bring huge liquidity to the market.
6. Ethereum Spot ETF with Staking Feature
One of the strengths of Ethereum is its staking feature which is able to provide higher yields than US Treasuries.
If future Ethereum spot ETFs are allowed to have a staking feature, this will be a big attraction for institutional investors.
7. Spot Index Crypto ETFs
The existence of a crypto index traded on exchanges like Nasdaq would be a game changer.
Currently, some indices such as Bitwise 10 Crypto Index Fund and Grayscale Digital Large Cap Fund already exist, although they are not yet traded on Nasdaq.
The presence of crypto indices on major exchanges will bring massive liquidity to the altcoin market.
8. Asset Rotation from Bitcoin to Altcoins
Retailers who have made large profits from Bitcoin tend to rotate their portfolios to altcoins in search of greater profit potential.
However, the dominance of institutions in Bitcoin makes this altcoin season have different dynamics compared to previous cycles.
3 Antithesis of Allcoin Season
However, there are some challenges that may hinder the altcoin season:
1. High Rate of Token Inflation
Large token unlocks can dilute the price of altcoins.
2. Large Number of New Projects
The number of altcoins, layer 1, and layer 2 is much greater than 2021, so liquidity must be divided.
3. Lack of Users
Many projects are technologically advanced but lack significant user adoption.
Bitcoin Season: Key Pillars at All Season
One of the main attractions of All Season is Bitcoin, which remains the leading asset in the crypto space. This Bitcoin season has a number of interesting narratives, including the potential for greater institutional adoption and the predicted victory of Donald Trump. Here are the main theses that support Bitcoin season in 2025.
1. Donald Trump Wins the Election
The prediction of a Trump victory in the 2024 election is one of the main narratives supporting Bitcoin season. If this happens, the US Senate and House of Representatives will be increasingly controlled by pro-crypto politicians. This opens up great opportunities for Bitcoin to become a strategic asset at various levels, including as a strategic government reserve.
2. Bitcoin Strategic Reserve
The United States is rumored to be planning to buy up to 1 million Bitcoin in the next five years as a strategic reserve. If this plan is realized, there will be massive FOMO, not only among institutions but also at the government level of other countries.
3. FOMO at the Government Level
The adoption of Bitcoin by the US government will trigger other countries, especially in Europe and NATO, to follow suit.
Adoption at the government level is one of the main keys in pushing Bitcoin to reach a price of $1 million.
Also read What is Discovery Price?
4. MicroStrategy and Company Adoption
MicroStrategy's Bitcoin purchase strategy continues to be a role model for other companies.
With a planned $42 billion Bitcoin buyout, MicroStrategy showed how Bitcoin adoption can significantly increase a company's stock value.
Other companies are starting to follow suit, making Bitcoin part of their strategic portfolio.
5. Bitcoin Korea Spot ETF
Besides America, South Korea is also a key player in the crypto world. The launch of the Bitcoin Korea Spot ETF is predicted to create a huge hype in the market, equal to or even higher than the hype in America.
6. In-Kind Bitcoin Spot ETF
This type of ETF allows investors to withdraw assets in the form of Bitcoin directly. Currently, in-kind ETFs are only available in Hong Kong.
However, if this type of ETF is expanded to the global market, its impact on Bitcoin liquidity and price will be significant.
7. Bitcoin's Cyclical Pattern
Bitcoin is entering the “banana zone,” a phase of the four-year cycle where the price typically experiences a large spike after a period of post-halving stagnation.
This phase has not failed in previous cycles, lasting 300 to 350 days on average.
Super Cycle Meme: A New Interest in the Crypto World
Besides Bitcoin and altcoins, token memes are also an important part of the All Season. This time around, the super cycle meme came about for a few key reasons:
1. Community Protest Against Bad Tokenomics
Token memes are considered a form of community protest against altcoins that have bad tokenomics, such as the low float high FDV trend that dominated throughout 2024.
2. Liquidity Rotation from Betting Markets
The huge profits from betting markets, especially during election times, are largely diverted to meme tokens.
The speculative nature of meme tokens attracts the attention of investors who want to take higher risks.
3. Listing on CEX
Meme tokens are starting to gain greater exposure with their listing on major exchanges (CEX).
Binance, for example, has started listing small-cap meme tokens, such as ACT, which only has a market cap of $20 million.
4. Retail FOMO
Meme tokens have a unique appeal to retail investors. Narratives like “from $100 to $1 million” make meme tokens a key entry point for new users into the crypto world.
5. Simple and Easy to Understand
Unlike altcoins that often have technical whitepapers, meme tokens are very simple and easy to understand.
This makes it more appealing to new users who don't want to go through the hassle of learning complex blockchain technology.
6. Solid Community
Meme tokens rely heavily on the strength of their community. Holders often work together to promote the project on social media, creating a sustainable hype.
Also read What is GMGN ai: Definition, How it Works, and Features
Antithesis of All Season: Risks to Watch Out For
While All Season seems like a golden opportunity, there are still risks to be aware of. Here are some antitheses of this narrative:
1. Black Swan Events
Unexpected events such as a global recession, a spike in unemployment, or even a political tragedy such as the assassination of an important figure (e.g., Trump) can rock the market.
2. Japan Carry Trade
Monetary policy changes in Japan can affect global liquidity, ultimately impacting the crypto market.
3. Global Recession
If a recession occurs, investors are likely to return to safe haven assets like gold, reducing liquidity coming into crypto.
4. Over-Supply in Altcoins
The abundance of new projects with low utility can leave liquidity in altcoins fragmented, hampering the potential for significant price increases.
Also read What is a Litecoin Faucet?
Conclusion: Are you ready for the All Season?
The All Season is a rare phenomenon that involves not only the rising prices of Bitcoin, altcoins, and meme tokens, but also various other asset classes.
While the opportunity for big gains is there, it's important to remain cautious and understand the risks involved.
A wise portfolio strategy, such as an 80% allocation to Bitcoin and 20% to altcoins, can help mitigate risk while still maximizing potential gains.
In addition, understanding Bitcoin's cyclical patterns and keeping up with regulatory developments are key to better navigating the market.
Enjoy the All Season, and stay alert for any antithesis that may emerge. The crypto world is full of surprises, and only those who are prepared can survive and profit.
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